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Free AccessBMO's Aaron Kohli adds on today's......>
US TSYS/TIPS: BMO's Aaron Kohli adds on today's 1pm ET US$14B 5Y TIPS reopening
that TIPS "liquidity" is "always a concern, and the presence of the auction will
likely provide one of the few opportunities to buy 5-year TIPS in size for any
real money investors. Given the backup in real yields in the belly on a more
hawkish Fed, we're likely to see that interest show up at the event."
- He adds non-TIPS "liquidity is "already a bit lighter as volumes fall heading
into the holidays", a "positive for the auction" as "it cld aggregate demand at
the event."
- He said Dec 5Y TIPS auctns offer "positive bias with 2 stops on the screws,
and two stops through in the last 6 yrs."
- "We underweight the auction stats a bit in this case" due to "low frequency of
TIPS events, but it's a small positive," he said "Foreign demand has been steady
for the last 4 auctions with an uptick to 17% for the August event," a "positive
sign" though "we doubt" foreign buyers "are rushing to stock up on inflation
protection" amid "mediocre core-CPI readings. The demand may not persist but the
trend is positive nonetheless."
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.