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BOC Says There's Room For Growth While Moving Back To Inflation Target

BOC
  • "With further and sustained easing in underlying inflation in recent months, we are more confident that inflation will continue to move closer to the target," BoC Governor Tiff Macklem says while speaking about the labour market Monday from Winnipeg.
  •  Macklem said there is no need for a large rise in unemployment. "With some slack in the economy, there is room for the Canadian economy to grow and add more jobs even as inflation continues to move closer to the target."
  • The BoC says wage growth is moderating, especially by measures it weights more heavily such as unit labour costs and the LFS fixed weight measure, but is looking for further moderation.
  • The Bank said the labour market is moving toward a soft-landing scenario. The Beveridge curve has shifted back to pre-pandemic levels as vacancies have come down without a large increase in unemployment. 
  • "With an aging population and limits to how many immigrants we can successfully absorb each year, improving our productivity growth will become more important to sustaining trend growth."
  • Macklem said there's room to slow the growth of non-permanent residents without causing significant labour shortages.
  • Earlier this month the BOC led the G7 with a rate cut and Macklem had said more cuts are possible if the economy progresses as expected. He didn't repeat that explicit guidance in the speech but has a press conference afterwards. 

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