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Bearish Risk


Attention Is On The 50-day EMA


Clears Key Support


Larger FX Option Pipeline

By Yali N'Diaye
     OTTAWA (MNI) - Bank of Canada Deputy Governor Sylvain Leduc indicated
Thursday in a question and answer session following a speech in Quebec City that
it would likely take a few months for the central bank to assess the impact of
U.S. tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum.
     Earlier Thursday, the Trump administration announced that starting Friday,
Canada, along with Mexico and Europe, would no longer be exempt from tariffs on
certain steel and aluminum products imported by the U.S. of 25% and 10%,
     Canada is the largest exporter of steel to the U.S. and the Conference
Board of Canada stressed that Canada would be "hit hard" as 85% of its steel and
aluminum is exported south of the border, accounting for 16% of U.S. steel
imports and 40% of aluminum imports.
     Prime Minister Justin Trudeau qualified such tariffs as "unacceptable", and
Foreign Minister Chrystia Freeland announced similar countermeasures against the
U.S. to take effect on July 1.
     For Leduc, "it will take a little bit of time to evaluate the impact" of
U.S. tariffs. "This is too early to tell" and the BOC will have to analyze data
over the next few months, he said.
     In his speech earlier, Leduc said that "elevated trade policy uncertainty"
is restraining business investment, although the latter is still expected to
     Although the environment is uncertain, he said in answering questions, "I
think we will do what's right given the data," especially housing and the
sensitivity of the economy to interest rates.
     While the BOC has underlined the progress made on wages and inflation, it
still needs more clarity on its understanding of housing adjustments to tighter
mortgage rules and higher interest rates, and on the sensitivity of the economy
to interest rates.
     It is still too early to tell how much this sensitivity to interest rates
has changed, Leduc said.
     He repeated that the BOC still expects a rebound in housing resale
--MNI Ottawa Bureau; +1 613 869-0916; email:
[TOPICS: M$C$$$]