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BoE Pricing Incrementally Firmer As Bank Delivers Expected Hike, Leaves Guidance Unch.

STIR

BoE-dated OIS firms post-BoE (1-6bp higher from June ’23 out to Mar ’24), given the lack of alterations to the Bank’s guidance phrasing and economic projection tweaks that we have flagged previously. Fresh richening in the wider core global FI complex and the fact that the market was already pricing a more hawkish BoE policy rate path than the sell-side consensus is probably limiting the move. Peak BoE policy rate pricing still sits in the 4.90-4.95% window as a result.


BoE MeetingSONIA BoE-Dated OIS (%)SONIA BoE-Dated OIS-Pre BoE (%)
May-234.4284.434
Jun-234.6284.617
Aug-234.7974.769
Sep-234.8814.842
Nov-234.8854.837
Dec-234.8414.783
Feb-244.7494.689
Mar-244.6174.565

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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