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Bolsonaro Hints At Plan B for Auxilio Brasil

BRAZIL
  • Over the weekend, president Bolsonaro indicated that he has a plan B for Auxílio Brasil — a social program that will replace Bolsa Família — if the PEC dos Precatórios is not approved, without providing any details.
    • Government is having difficulty in finding enough votes to pass the bill that will change the rules on spending cap bill.
  • Pressure on swap rates eased on Friday, however, the front-end of the DI curve shifted roughly 125 basis points higher throughout last week.
  • Continued volatility is expected as the central bank were unable to provide an adequate response within their statement to shore up investor sentiment. With a local holiday tomorrow, the Copom minutes will be published on Wednesday, where further details into the BCB board discussions will be analysed.
    • Just announced: *Brazil to sell 150,000 NTN-B bonds in auction (BBG)
  • The Brazilian real has opened broadly in line with Friday's close, however, may emulate the underperformance of EM peers - as MXN and ZAR drop despite the positive session for U.S and European index futures.
  • Liquidity may be impacted with the impending local holiday with 5.7558, the Apr 13 high and 5.8064, the Mar 29 high acting as key levels of resistance for the pair

MNI/Bloomberg

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