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Bond futures have continued to.........>

AUSSIE BONDS
AUSSIE BONDS: Bond futures have continued to trickle lower, following the
initial fall in the wake of the domestic CPI release. Today's domestic CPI data
will re-affirm the Bank's view that the next move in the cash rate will likely
be higher, and that there is no need for adjustments in the Bank's policy
settings in the near term. The latest round of headline domestic CPI data topped
exp., although remains shy of the lower end of the RBA's target band of
2.0-3.0%. Underlying inflation metrics were inline with the RBA's Q4 assumption
(from the most recent SoMP). This comes at a time when the market remains
focused on the prospect of rate cuts (BBG interpolated OIS WIRP model points to
a ~35% chance of MonPol loosening this year, as a modest degree of rate cut
chances were priced out in lieu of the CPI print).
- YM -4.5 ticks and XM -2.5 ticks. YM/XM runs flatter to 50.0 as a result, with
the cash equivalent at 48.9bp. AU/U.S. 10-Year yield spread trades at -47.0bp.
- Bills last trade 3-5 ticks softer through the reds. IB activity is running at
a healthy rate, contracts from March out trade 1.5 to 2.5 ticks lower on the
day.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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