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Bottlenecks Easing (1/3): NY Fed's GSCPI At Lowest Since Mar 2021

GLOBAL

June's NY Fed Global Supply Chain Pressure Index (the GSCPI, released today) fell to the lowest since March 2021 at 2.41 (vs 2.58 prior and 4.35 at the peak in Dec 2021).

  • The NY Fed said that the decline was "mostly due to a large decrease in Chinese supply delivery times".
  • While the index is still very much at elevated levels vs history (the 2.41 reading is the number of standard deviations vs the average value), June's GSCPI reading is a further indication that global bottlenecks are easing, which should mean less upside pressure on supply-led inflation starting in the second half of the year.

Source: NY Fed

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