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Brent Expected in  $85-$90/bbl Range With Growing Supply Deficit: UBS

OIL

Brent is expected in the $85-$90/bbl range over the rest of the year as the deficit in global oil markets is set to widen over the coming months according to UBS.

  • WTI is expected between $80-$85/bbl over the same period with an approximate 2mb/d shortfall seen in July and August compared with 0.7mb/d in June.
  • The deficit in September could be more than 1.5mb/d if Saudi Arabia extend voluntary cuts.
  • Demand growth continues to be driven by Asia, mainly China and India, while Brazil and Middle East demand also remains solid.
  • Technical are also supportive, momentum traders switching from short to long trades, and covering of elevated short futures and options positions.

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