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Brent steady as OPEC supply curbs come into focus

RUSSIA
  • {ru} Local & USD rates broadly Unch after yields tracked marginally lower across the breadth of the curve. Push lower centered in 5Y USD & local tenors with the local moving towards the 5.10 mark after holding the move through 5.15.
  • USD/RUB trading marginally higher at the open after a yesterday's vaccine-related risk-on rally across EM was supported by rumours of a three month OPEC+ supply cut extension bolstered oil prices (~4%).
  • Focus will be on the OPEC+ meeting today for further supply-side drivers to oil futures, while industrial production numbers print at 4pm GMT (-5.6% exp vs -5.0% prior). USD/RUB remains within the descending channel pattern, holding above key support at 76.00.
  • A move below this level opens up the underside of the channel at around 75.5 before moving closer to the fair value range at 70-75. Failure to break 76 support (4th retest) may see the pair continue to track sideways. Major sell side organisations still remain OW RUB.

Local news

  • Analysts note Pro-EU Moldova election winner Sandu's victory represents a major hit to the Kremlin at a time when many Kremlin-aligned govts are suffering from political unrest and security crises - despite comments from Sandu vowing to maintain balanced West-Russia relations - Moscow Times
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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