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Brewing Geopol Tension Underpins Tsys

US TSYS
  • Thin summer markets exacerbated market moves Monday, brewing tension in the Middle East where Israel in on full alert ahead of an expected attack from Iran/Hamas, while fighting continues in Eastern Europe after Ukraine took control of over 1,000 square miles of Russian territory in a counter-offensive that kicked off over the weekend.
  • Treasury futures climbed to 113-09.5 high in late trade, still well below technical resistance at 114-03 (High Aug 6). Tsy 10Y yield slipped to 3.8940% low in late trade.
  • Limited data, NY Fed inflation expectations were unchanged for 1Y and 5Y ahead measures (1Y unchanged on a rounded basis at 3.0% but unrounded at 2.97% after 3.02%, 5Y at 2.8%).
  • Focus on Tuesday morning's PPI data while Richmond Fed Bostic will discuss his economic outlook (no text, Q&A) at 1315ET.

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