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BT Spreads Underperform Through Recent Vol; At YTD Wides vs. Vodafone In Places

COMMUNICATIONS
  • BT Profile: NR/BBB/BBB Vodafone Profile: Baa2/BBB/BBB[P]
  • BT spreads have underperformed similarly rated peers including close peer Vodafone during the recent sell-off with the curve now in places offering close to 35bps of pickup vs. Vodafone. Both issuers reported on 25 July with Fitch affirming BT at BBB on 01 August. Spreads between the two now sit at YTD highs in places.
  • BT reported Q1 earnings that we considered to be mixed results with a revenue miss (-2% YoY) on the back of weak performance in the business segment, but an EBITDA beat (+1% YoY) on broad-based performance and on OpenReach ARPU growth and FTTP volumes despite ongoing broadband line losses which remain an acute concern.
  • Vodafone reported strong results at the group level, with service revenues and EBITDAal both over +5% YoY albeit with the results somewhat overshadowed by renewed weakness in the German market returning to organic revenue contraction and KPI losses. That said the credit has a lot of momentum behind it as one of the best MoM performers in €IG TMT with investors largely focussed on strategic refocussing and asset sales.




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