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Bull Flattening Seen Tuesday, CPI In View

US TSYS

T-Notes flat at the re-open, last -0-03 at 131-24, after the contract moved away from best levels ahead of Tuesday's close. Note that Tuesday's rally fell short of a test of the recent contract highs that were printed on Friday

  • The cash Tsy curve bull flattened, with 2s firming by ~2bp, while 30s richened by ~6.5bp come the close. This came after modest bull steepening during Asia-Pac hours, with the early bid linked to a BBG source report which suggested that Fed Governor Brainard was a "serious rival" for Fed Chair Powell in the race to sit atop the central bank. There was also a sense of international impetus evident, with the long end of the UK & German curves outperforming Tsys.
  • The space was helped off best levels by the latest 10-Year Tsy auction, which tailed by a little over 1bp, with the cover ratio falling below the recent average, while end user demand remained elevated in a historical sense, even as dealer participation saw a minor uptick.
  • Chinese inflation data provides the focal point during the Asia-Pac session. Looking ahead, U.S. CPI provides the main risk event during Wednesday's local session, with average earnings data also due. We will also get the latest round of 30-Year Tsy supply.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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