May 15, 2024 13:16 GMT
Bunds Hover Around 50-day EMA Following US CPI and Retail Sales Data
STIR
Bunds are holding onto gains after the US-data inspired rally, spearheaded by a soft US retail sales print and largely in-line US CPI report.
- Bunds are currently +110 ticks at 131.61, hovering around key resistance at 131.69 (50-day EMA). A sustained clearance of this average would be a bullish development from a technical standpoint.
- ECB-dated OIS contracts remain within recent ranges, with 72bps of cuts priced through the remainder of 2024 (vs 71bps pre-data and a post-data dovish extreme of 74bps).
- 10-year periphery spreads to Bunds tightened on release but have partially retraced the initial move lower, with the BTP/Bund spread now around 2.5bps tighter today at ~131.5bps.
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