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By-Elections: Conservatives Hold Onto Uxbridge But Lose Selby And Somerton

UK

UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak’s Conservative Party has avoided becoming the first party to lose three by-elections in one day - narrowly holding onto Boris Johnson’s former seat in Uxbridge - but recorded two heavy by-election defeats yesterday with Selby flipping to Labour and Somerton to the Liberal Democrats.

  • The Selby seat, in particular, which saw the second-biggest ever swing to Labour in a by-election, may foreshadow deepening political headwinds for Conservatives ahead of the next UK general election set to take place by January 2025.
  • The big takeaway from the by-elections is that results appear to support polling data which shows the Conservative Party trailing by around 20 points. The average drop by Conservatives was 21%.
  • Selby and Ainsty: LAB: 46.0% (+21.4) CON: 34.3% (-25.9) LDEM: 3.3% (-5.3)
  • Somerton and Frome: LDEM: 54.6% (+28.4) CON: 26.2% (-29.6) GRN: 10.2% (+5.1) REF: 3.4% (+3.4) LAB: 2.6% (-10.3)
  • Uxbridge and South Ruislip: CON: 45.2% (-7.5) LAB: 43.6% (+5.9)
  • The BBC has a full breakdown of results: Here

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