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Canadian Crude Heavy Market Picks Up Amid TMX Start: Platts

OIL

Spot trading of arbitrage heavy Canadian crude to Asia has gathered pace in anticipation of the TMX expansion start on May 1, according to Platts.

  • Thus far, four Aframax cargoes of heavy Canadian sour crude were heard sold to Sinochem, Petrochina, and Unipec for June delivery.
  • The last three cargoes were sold at around August ICE Brent minus $5-4$/b on a delivered basis, compared to discounts of $5.5-$5/b for the first WCS cargo, sold in late March to Sinochem.
  • Some market participants in Asia were sceptical that the arbitrage economics would pull TMX barrels to Asia.
  • The lack of Mexico’s Maya crude exports to the USGC narrowing the region’s discounts for heavy sour grades. This could pull cargoes to the region.
  • Additional TMX barrels to Asia come amid a tightening of overall supply for Middle Eastern heavy sour for a second successive month in May.

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