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Canadian FI Outperforms US As ISM Services Weighs vs BoC Hold

CANADA
  • GoCs have kept to the outperformance of Treasuries seen after the BoC left rates unchanged but remained open to further hikes at the same time as US ISM Services came in stronger than expected.
  • 2Y and 5Y GoC yields sit 3.5bp higher since the decision (+2.5/3bps on the day) in contrast to 7.5-8bps higher for Treasuries (+7bps on the day).
  • There is a similar story in rates space, although the BAX curve has still seen a large trimming of inversion with the BAU3/Z4 spread reduced from -65bps to -55bps, close to recent lows of -50bps for levels not seen since Sep 2022.
  • Tomorrow sees Gov. Macklem give the Economic Progress Report. Remarks will be released at 1355ET before the speech at 1410ET and media Q&A 1530ET

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