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Capital Goods Imports Drive Wider US Goods Deficit

US DATA
  • The advanced goods trade deficit widened more than expected in September, from $87.3B to $92.2B (cons $87.5B) from both lower exports and higher imports, although the 3mth rolling deficit narrowed slightly further to an estimated 4.2% GDP.
  • On the month, oil looks to have weighed on both exports and imports but there were encouraging signs from a growth perspective with higher imports led by capital goods (+4.4% M/M, 15% Y/Y) - which can boost future production - and consumer goods also increased, likely buoyed by dollar strength.
  • Elsewhere, inventories increased at a smaller pace than expected in Sep, with wholesale +0.8% M/M (cons 1.0%) after 1.4% and retail +0.4% M/M (cons 1.2) after 1.4%, whilst building permits were unrevised.

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