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CBA note that "funding conditions......>

AUSSIE BONDS
AUSSIE BONDS: CBA note that "funding conditions since the RBA's intervention, in
terms of repo, have been extremely well managed & abundant in source terms. The
daily repo rate is hovering at around 0.18% for 1 month, or ~6bp > OIS. This is
the narrowest spread for around 5 years. More recently, the RBA has scaled down
its daily ops, not because it is withdrawing from the market, but because demand
has fallen. Average daily OMO volumes sit at $A730m, more than $A1bn less than
that seen in Mar. Looking to June, the RBA's initial spike of offerings will
start to fall due. June will have $A46.3bn in maturities, with $A44bn of this
rolling off 9-29 Jun. The final week of June, being the FY end/quarter end for
some banks has $A13.3bn of maturities currently. We exp. that banks will seek to
shore up their repo funding ahead of time to carry them over the 30 Jun B/S.
This should lift the demand side of the equation & we would exp. the RBA to
match this demand... The surge of bond supply that has come to the market, from
ACGBs and Semis might also lift the overall need for funding. A sharp lift in
the requirement for repo funding could push the rate higher, or the spread to
OIS wider. A rise in the secured rate (repo) could lead to a rise in BBSW."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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