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Broken Midcurve Call Fly

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Late Rally Counters Early Negativity

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  • Chile Central Bank's president Mario Marcel will present the quarterly monetary policy report (IPoM) at an online event.
  • JPMorgan Revise Interest Rate Forecast, Expect July Hike
    • Change forecasts for the policy rate at 1.5% by December (from 1%, previously), with 25bp starting in July.
    • The 2Q IPoM showed upward revisions to 2021 GDP growth and inflation, while trend and neutral rates were revised lower.
    • The forward guidance is for policy rate hikes ahead, though the emphasis is on a gradual process, with the policy rate still below its neutral level on a 2-yr horizon.
  • Chile Presidential Candidate Jadue Spoke In An Interview:
  • An early front-runner for Chile's presidential vote in November is proposing a radical overhaul for one of South America's richest countries, with higher taxes, a revamp of the pension system, more state involvement in the economy and regional cooperation to discourage companies from crossing borders for lower tax rates.