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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
ITALY
The centre-right coalition (CDX) remains on course to win the 25 September legislative election according to latest opinion polling. The right-wing nationalist Brothers of Italy (FdI) remain the most popular party in the centre-right coalition by some margin. Despite speculation that others could seek the PM's office after the election, FdI leader Giorgia Meloni remains in pole position to take over from Mario Draghi.
- Damaging the centre-left coalition's (CSX) prospects of keeping the right out of power is that its overall support has declined somewhat in late August and September as the populist Five-Star Movement (M5S) has recorded a minor recovery.
- CSX and M5S unable to come to terms before the election on an alliance. These two forming an alliance after the election seen as the only chance of keeping CDX out of power. However, if they are only winning over support from one another, rather than CDX, it will only serve to strengthen the right's prospects of victory.
Chart 1. Italy Election Opinion Polling by Coalition
Source: Lab2101, SWG, Quoroum-YouTrend, BiDiMedia, Piepoli, Tecne, Termometro Politico, IZI, Cluster17, Demopolis, Demos & Pi, EMG, GDC, Index, Noto, Euromedia, Ipsos, CISE, GPF, Ixe, MNI
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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