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Chicago Fed Nat'l Activity Underlines Solid Start To Q2

US DATA

The April Chicago Fed National Activity Index came in at a below-expected 0.47 (0.50 survey) vs 0.36 prior (revised down from 0.44).

  • Since a zero value is associated with growth at its historical trend, the April report suggests that US growth was above-trend in April (as has been the case since October 2021).
  • The report notes that "Sixty-two of the 85 individual indicators made positive contributions to the CFNAI in April, while 23 made negative contributions. Forty-seven indicators improved from March to April, while 37 indicators deteriorated and one was unchanged."
  • This isn't a market-moving data point, since it's based on data that has already been released - but its modest uptick in April helps confirm the broader narrative that the US economy was growing at a decent pace to begin Q2, with production-related indicators doing much of the heavy lifting.


Source: Chicago Fed

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