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China Refined Oil Exports Margins Turn Negative

OIL PRODUCTS

China’s refined oil export profits have moved into negative territory, according to OilChem, driven by declining Asian gasoline prices and rising US inventories.

  • As of Dec. 15, exporting gasoline from China averaged a 15.3 y/t loss, with gasoil an even larger 50.3 y/t loss. Profits are down 102.7% and 122.5% respectively compared to Dec. 1.
  • China’s domestic prices have shown more resilience than in export markets, with local gasoline prices down 1% since Dec. 1.
  • A falling US gasoline crack and higher US inventories have put pressure on gasoline export prices.
  • Gasoil markets have seen pressure due to weaker demand in Europe, a milder winter, growing economic concerns, and subdued fundamentals in Asia. This has pushed down Singapore’s price by 3% since the start of Dec.
  • Gasoline and gasoil demand in Asia is expected to remain sluggish in the near term, with demand in China also expected to stay flat.

Source: OilChem

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