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China’s Gasoline Price Fall Expected to Slow in May: OilChem

OIL PRODUCTS

China’s gasoline price drop will slow in late May due to more intensive refinery maintenance and a narrow oversupply, despite an overall bearish picture, OilChem said.

  • OilChem forecasts that China’s daily gasoline consumption will rise 1.8% on the month to 445k mt/day in May. This is down 3.9% on the year.
  • The monthly increase was boosted by the travel peak during the Labor Day holiday.
  • Higher EV ownership is likely to be pressing on gasoline consumption, OilChem added.
  • State-owned refineries have kept gasoline production high in May. Teapots will see production supported by better profits and higher yields, despite intense maintenance.
  • However, gasoline exports are also up 0.2m mt to 0.7m mt for May.
  • China’ gasoline inventories are likely to rise by 0.3m mt to 17.60m mt by end-May.
  • Although gasoline prices dropped rapidly in H1 May, this should slow in H2 amid higher refinery maintenance and narrowing oversupply.

Source: OilChem

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