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ChiNext In Bear Market Territory

CHINA STOCKS

Monday's tech underperformance wasn't limited to U.S. equities, with the ChiNext shedding ~5.0% on the day as the index entered technical bear market territory, closing ~21.5% shy of its YtD peak.

  • Firmer policymaker rhetoric re: risks to the economy via bubbles and a generally harder line against leverage have crimped the Chinese equity market rally in recent weeks, with China's official GDP growth target for '21 also underwhelming (although some would argue that gives policymakers more wiggle room to promote success if the country provides a significant beat vs. target).
  • From a technical perspective the 200-DMA nears, with the 50% retracement of the move from the March 2020 lows to the YtD highs providing the next level of support if the 200-DMA gives way.
  • Bigger picture, 6 of the last 10 sessions have seen net outflows from Chinese equity markets via the northbound leg of the Hong Kong-China Stock Connect schemes, with the 20-day rolling sum of net northbound flows printing at the least positive levels seen since November.

Fig. 1: ChiNext Index


Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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