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Free AccessClears 20-day EMA Resistance, As Dollar Falters On Lower Yields
NZD/USD finished the Thursday session up nearly 0.60%, just shy of the best G10 performers, as the USD experienced broad losses in US trade. The BBDXY fell 0.74% as softer US yields post the FOMC weighed on sentiment. NZD/USD tracks around 0.5960 in early Friday dealings, just shy of late US Thursday highs near 0.5970.
- NZD/USD is now clear of the 20-day EMA, just above 0.5950. Late April highs rest at 0.5985, while the 50-day EMA is close to 0.6000. On the downside, May 1 lows were at 0.5875.
- Broader USD sentiment faltered as US yields fell across the curve. Weakness was more evident at the front end (2yr off nearly 9bps to 4.87%). We did see stronger unit labor cost data but that was largely ignored by the market, with the dovish lean from the Fed the more dominant driver of sentiment.
- US equity gains were firm (SPX +0.91%), which likely aided risk appetite for the NZD, although it didn't outperform the yen. NZD/JPY sits near 91.60 in early Friday dealings. In the past month dips in the cross sub 91.00 have been supported. Recent highs rest above 95.00.
- The local data calendar is quiet today. Earlier we had headlines from NZ Treasury cross, which stated weaker productivity growth is likely to persist (see this BBG link).
- Note in the option expiry space we have the following for NY cut later: $0.5950(N$780mln).
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.