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Policy
Policy
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Global Macro
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Actionable insight on monetary policy, balance sheet and inflation with focus on global issuance. Analysis on key political risk impacting the global markets.
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About Us
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessMNI ASIA MARKETS OPEN: Tsy Curves Reverse Course Ahead Wed CPI
MNI ASIA MARKETS ANALYSIS:Waiting For Next Inflation Shoe Drop
Key Inter-Meeting Fed Speak – Dec 2024
US TREASURY AUCTION CALENDAR: Avg 3Y Sale
Closing Around Early Sydney Levels After Two-Way Trade
Aussie bonds gravitated back towards early Sydney levels after the pre-data bid waned in the wake of a strong labour market report and as U.S. Tsys softened, although a recovery from Sydney cheaps was seen into the close as U.S. Tsys ticked away from session lows.
- YM finished +7.0, with XM +11.0, while cash ACGBS were 6-11bp richer across the curve, with the 10- to 20-Year zone outperforming.
- The labour market continues to perform strongly, while wage growth has accelerated in recent times. Still, we doubt that this week’s labour market and wage data will trigger a move back to 50bp hikes for the RBA, given the proximity to the recent downshift to 25bp steps and the Bank’s clear focus on the lagged impact of the already deployed tightening, as well as the risks (both domestic & global) that are swirling around the Australian economy.
- Bills finished 1-15bp richer, with RBA dated OIS printing just over 20bp of tightening for next month’s RBA meeting and a terminal cash rate of just under 3.80%, with the latter softening a touch early in Sydney dealing.
- Looking ahead, A$700mn of ACGB Nov-29 supply and the release of the weekly AOFM issuance slate headline the domestic docket on Friday.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.