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Free Access/CMBS/MBS/ABS: Nomura analysts also noted...>
US TSYS: /CMBS/MBS/ABS: Nomura analysts also noted on "stealth leverage" causes
for 2018 that "Commercial Real Estate: During 2008-12, banks with high
concentrations of CRE loans were about 3 times more likely to fail than all
banks nationwide, according to Richmond Fed research. As specialized knowledge
on local real estate markets is often key to CRE loan markets, community and
regional banks are major credit providers. Risks associated with construction
and land development loans (CLD), the riskiest component of CRE loans, appear
concentrated in small banks, which may not have the stuffiest buffers to absorb
potential losses associated with CRE loans. In addition, CRE valuation remains
at the highs when compared with residential real estate."
- They added that "one area of consumer credit that has resurfaced on the radar
is subprime, but this time in the auto loan sector. The recent peak in 2015 saw
nearly 40% of all US auto loans go to subprime borrowers. There has been a
slowdown since and new origination versus total auto loans has decelerated (thus
a lower flag). However, the total existing debt load of the past few years is
about $0.4trn."
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.