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CNH: Struggles To Extend Gains Past 100-DMA After Bouncing Off Fibo Support

NZD

NZD/CNH moved away from a four-month low after bouncing off the 61.8% retracement of the Oct 20 - Feb 25 rally, located at CNH4.5425. At the same time, the RSI returned from oversold territory. The rate then stabilised just above the 50% Fibo retracement & 200-DMA, struggling to register further gains and push through the next DMA. The pair last trades +23 pips at CNH4.6198. The RSI sits some way off the 70 level, which suggests potential for a continued move higher.

  • A break above the ascending 100-DMA at CNH4.6441 would reassure bulls, encouraging them to target Mar 18 high of CNH4.7184.
  • Bears keep an eye on the 200-DMA at CNH4.5918. A breach of that level would turn focus to Apr 1 low of CNH4.5721.

Fig. 1: NZD/CNH

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

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