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CNYJPY Approaching Key Resistance At 20.2850.

FOREX
  • Since the start of the year, G10 investors have been particularly focusing on the Japanese Yen as the dovish BoJ comments last month has led to a sharp depreciation in JPY in recent weeks.
  • Momentum traders have become increasingly short the JPY on the back of monetary policy divergence between BoJ and DM and some EM central banks.
    • Despite the upward revision in inflation, the BoJ is unlikely to change the course of its policy in the near to medium term.
    • In addition, the BoJ offered on Wednesday to conduct an unlimited purchase of JGBs at a fixed rate in the coming week to prevent the 10Y yield from rising above the 0.25% level.
  • The Japanese Yen is the weakest performing currency in 2022, down over 11% against the US Dollar, with USDJPY currently trading at its highest level since April 2002.
  • This chart shows that momentum on CNYJPY has also been strong in the past two months despite PBoC announcing clear easing signals.
  • The pair is up nearly 40% in the past two years and is approaching its key resistance at 20.2850 (June 2015 high).
  • A break above that level would bring us early 1993 highs.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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