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Commodities Drop Portends Further Declines In ISM Prices

US OUTLOOK/OPINION
Plenty of attention on the drop in ISM Manufacturing Prices which in October posted the lowest reading since May 2020, at 46.6 vs 51.7 in September and and 53.0 in October (and 87.1 as recently as March).
  • Then again, this subindex simply tends to track commodity prices - which are falling from recent peaks at a rapid clip.
  • The CRB raw industrials index is falling at the fastest 6-month % rate since the global financial crisis.
  • Absent a rebound in commodity prices, further falls in PMI Prices in months ahead are to be expected (the drop in commod prices already is consistent w ISM Prices falling below 40).



Source: ISM, CRB, BBG

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