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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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A new survey from NBC News has found that the generic Congressional ballot - a polling metric which asks voters whether they would prefer an unnamed Republican or Democrat in Congress - has been remarkably stable for over two years, despite preferences shifting more dramatically at the top of the ticket.
- NBC: "Right now, 47% prefer a GOP-controlled Congress compared to 46% who want Democrats. The parties have been locked in that competitive position for years: The GOP number hasn’t moved more than 2 points in either direction in NBC News polling since August 2021, while the Democratic number dipped outside that range just once."
- 538 notes a similarly tight race, with Democrats slightly ahead, on their generic congressional ballot aggregator: Democrats 44.7% Republicans 44.3%.
- Real Clear Politics' trackershows a dead heat - 45.5% apiece.
Figure 1: "What is your preference for the outcome of the congressional elections?"
Source: NBC News
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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