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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
CANADA
The latest Abacus poll shows the centre-right main opposition Conservatives gaining on Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's centre-left Liberal Party, but the main polling trends still indicate a stable, if narrow, lead for the Liberals nearly halfway through the current parliament.
- Abacus Data: Liberals: 34% (-2), Conservatives: 32% (+3), New Democratic Party: 17% (=), Greens: 7% (=), Bloc Quebecois: 6% (-1), People's Party: 3% (+1). Last date of Polling: 12 May, chgs w/25 April. 1,500 respondents.
- While this poll looks good for Erin O'Toole's party, the overall polling trend in recent weeks and months continues to show Trudeau's Liberals with a stable lead (see chart below):
Chart 1. Opinion Polling, % and 4-poll moving average
Source: Abacus Data, Leger, EKOS, Innovative Research, Angus Reid, Mainstreet Research, Nanos Research, Innovative Research, Ipsos, Pollara, MNI. Each dot indicates single poll.
- The stable lead for the Liberals has raised the prospect that PM Trudeau could call a general election well before the end of the current parliament in late-2023.
- At present his gov't is a minority one, hindering his ability to pass legislation and meaning there is always the looming prospect of a vote of no confidence being called by the opposition to test the support of smaller left-wing parties in propping up Trudeau.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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