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Consolidating At Fibonacci Retracement Resistance For Now

EURGBP
  • As noted earlier, the breach of short-term resistance levels in EURGBP around 0.8510 prompted an extension of BOE related GBP weakness.
  • Broad dollar strength has left cable with the most significant move on the day, retreating 1.46% and pondering the first close beneath the 1.35 handle since late September.
  • EURGBP will almost definitely close above the 50-day EMA at 0.8507, a clear technical signal improving short-term conditions for bulls.
  • The initial target of 0.8561, 61.8% of the Sep 29 - Oct 26 sell-off, has been met with the pair now consolidating around these elevated levels (shown below). If Sterling weakness were to extend ahead of non-farms, a potential higher target for the move includes the September highs at 0.8658.

MNI/Bloomberg

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