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Consumer Sentiment Weakens as Inflation Expectations Edge Up

FRANCE DATA
MNI (London)

FRANCE FEB CONSUMER CONFIDENCE 82, JAN 83

  • French consumer confidence edged down by one point to 82 in February, following the upwardly revised Jan data (due to a calculation error).
  • The indicator remains only a few points above the September low and in deeply negative territory.
  • Personal finance outlooks weakened and propensity to make major purchases was stable, dragging further on household consumption in the near-term.
  • 12-month inflation expectations edged up in February. This follows the January HICP print, which edged up 0.3pp to +7.0% y/y, only 0.1pp below the October/November high.
  • This uptick was largely due to the winding back of government energy support measures, which saw fuel and regulated gas prices jump recently.
  • A continued decline in French inflation will be necessary if consumer sentiment is to improve over the coming months.

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