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Core CPI Surge Adds Pressure Onto BoC

CANADA
  • Headline CPI moderates as expected from 8.1% to 7.6% Y/Y but average core inflation edged up a tenth to 5.3% Y/Y (consensus 5.0%) from a 0.2pp upward revised June whilst a traditional ex food & energy measure also continued to firm to a new cyclical high of 5.5% Y/Y, driving a sharp sell-off in Canadian FI and pullback in USDCAD.
  • That 0.3pt beat for average core CPI was driven by another huge revision to Cpi-common, from 4.6 to 5.3% in June, with further gains then to 5.5% Y/Y in July (cons 4.7%). Common, supposedly a better measure of service inflation, is now the fastest of the three measures with median at 5.0% Y/Y (cons. 4.9%) and trim at 5.4% (in line).

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