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Core CPI To Accelerate To 4.7% in November

POLAND
  • Yesterday, economic data showed that current account deficit came in larger than expected at -1.79bn EUR in October (vs. -0.9bn EUR exp), increasing from -1.34bn EUR the previous month.
  • Today, Polish MPC member Grazyna Ancyparowicz takes part in seminar on inflation (BBG).
  • Next economic data to watch is Core CPI coming out on December 16, expected to accelerate to 4.7% YoY in November (up from 4.5% the previous month).
  • EURPLN has been consolidating lower in the past two days, breaking below its 50DMA this morning; next support to watch on the downside stands at 4.5950 (100DMA). On the topside, ST resistance to watch stands at 4.65.
  • Poland 10Y yield has been retracing gradually higher in the past few days after finding support at the 3% level last week; ST resistance to watch on the topside stands at 3.31%. On the downside, next support to watch below 3% stands at 2.93% (50DMA).
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