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Free AccessCore EGBs look to finish Thursday.......>
EGB SUMMARY: Core EGBs look to finish Thursday stronger following earlier
losses, following a largely uneventful ECB GC decision and press conference.
- ECB President Draghi provided clarification that English is the official
version of ECB communications and that ambiguous foreign language translations
of rates remaining on hold until `at least through summer 2019` should be
interpreted in that light. He also reiterated that the capital key is the anchor
for APP reinvestments, which could be interpreted as Bund-positive.
- Bunds rallied throughout the Q&A, with the Sep8 future rising from 162.03
pre-decision, to as high as 162.37; last trading 162.31, down 6 ticks.
- Periphery yields had relatively little reaction, though spreads widened as
Bunds edged higher. 10-Yr BTP yields at 2.691% are down 2.7bps from the high but
up 1.3bps on the day. Spread over Bunds 1.7bps wider at 229.9bps.
- Euribor strip has bear steepened; short-end flat while Blues up 2.0-2.5 ticks.
- Very modest decline in ECB hike expectations according to MNI PINCH; Oct-19
still the first month in which 10bps of hikes are priced in.
- With EGB supply and ECB out of the way this week, US & French GDP eyed Friday.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.