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CPI Firms Up 25bp Hike Next Week But Limited Reaction Beyond That

CANADA
  • OIS pricing for the Jan 25 BoC decision increases from 21bp to 23/24bp and BAX yields currently sit up to 4bps higher through 2023 but smaller moves further along the curve held explain the limited moves in GoCs.
  • 2Y yields have already unwound some of the post-release increase, now +1.5bp since the data for unchanged on the day after rallying almost 9bp yesterday with the BoC surveys landing in the middle of the session.
  • USDCAD meanwhile tests overnight lows, currently 1.3395. The pair sees a technical short-term bearish theme with support at 1.3322 (Jan 13 low) but has struggled to make any ground despite stronger than expected core inflation.

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