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US DATA PREVIEW: Credit Suisse economists said "next week's highlights" are the
September "employment report and ISM manufacturing."
- They added that "the September payrolls release is likely to be impacted by
recent natural disasters. We have reduced our expectations for job gains this
month by around 150K due to hurricane disruptions and we forecast jobs growth of
just 30K. However, the uncertainty around this estimate is extraordinarily high
- we would not be surprised by triple digit job losses or by a fairly ordinary
month of low-100s job gains. We expect the unemployment rate to tick up slightly
to 4.5%. However, we forecast that unemployment will begin to decline again
towards the end of the year. Average hourly earnings are likely to rise 0.3%
MoM, lifting the YoY figure to 2.6% from 2.5%."