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CREDIT SUPPLY: ING Tier 2 Issue: We See FV Around MS+170bp Area

CREDIT SUPPLY

ING (INTNED: Baa1 pos/A-/A+) is issuing Tier 2 sub debt today – we see fair value around MS+170bp area.

  • INTNED is issuing EUR benchmark 11NC6 Tier 2 sub debt with IPT at MS+210bp area. Expected ratings are: Baa2/BBB/A-.
  • ING results (1-Aug) were ahead of consensus with upgraded guidance. However, expectations were already relatively high, we feel, and spreads have widened since, along with the equity underperforming marginally through recent volatility.
  • ING and local peer ABN give a good guidance to curve slope at this workout point, two adjacent INTNED bonds also give a good steer towards a fair value in the MS+170bp area, we feel.

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