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OIL: Crude Continues To Find Support From News Of Supply Risks

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Oil prices are higher today with WTI up 0.8% to $71.31/bbl after a low of $71.13 and Brent steadfy around $75.25/bbl following a trough of $75.05. They rose on Monday driven by news of private talks amongst OPEC members to possibly delay the start of output normalisation again. The USD index is up 0.2%.

  • An attack by Ukrainian drones on Russian oil infrastructure has also supported prices. It has resulted in flows from Kazakhstan having to slow. They had been scheduled to run at 1.6mbd this month and next.
  • If OPEC again delays its gradual reduction in output cuts due to begin in April, it would be the fourth such postponement. The group had planned to increase production by 120kbd but excess global supply appears to be disrupting the schedule. Bloomberg is saying that Russia’s Deputy PM is denying that talks are underway.
  • Market participants are more bearish on oil with prompt spreads narrowing and bullish positions being decreased.
  • Later the Fed’s Daly and Barr speak and February US Empire manufacturing and NAHB housing print. There are also UK labour market data, February euro area ZEW and January Canadian CPIs. The ECB’s Cipollone participates in an MNI Connect event.
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Oil prices are higher today with WTI up 0.8% to $71.31/bbl after a low of $71.13 and Brent steadfy around $75.25/bbl following a trough of $75.05. They rose on Monday driven by news of private talks amongst OPEC members to possibly delay the start of output normalisation again. The USD index is up 0.2%.

  • An attack by Ukrainian drones on Russian oil infrastructure has also supported prices. It has resulted in flows from Kazakhstan having to slow. They had been scheduled to run at 1.6mbd this month and next.
  • If OPEC again delays its gradual reduction in output cuts due to begin in April, it would be the fourth such postponement. The group had planned to increase production by 120kbd but excess global supply appears to be disrupting the schedule. Bloomberg is saying that Russia’s Deputy PM is denying that talks are underway.
  • Market participants are more bearish on oil with prompt spreads narrowing and bullish positions being decreased.
  • Later the Fed’s Daly and Barr speak and February US Empire manufacturing and NAHB housing print. There are also UK labour market data, February euro area ZEW and January Canadian CPIs. The ECB’s Cipollone participates in an MNI Connect event.