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Free AccessMNI US MARKETS ANALYSIS - EUR Vols Surge Ahead of US CPI
MNI China Daily Summary: Wednesday, December 11
Crude Option Skew Turns More Bearish on Demand Risks
The second month crude options call-put skew has turned more bearish as it has drifted lower again over the last week as market focus returns to the oil demand growth uncertainty.
- Tighter near term supplies and voluntary OPEC cuts from next month had pushed the Brent skew up to about -4.9% earlier this month before falling back to -5.9% today.
- The WTI second month 25 delta call-put skew is also lower at -6.2% compared to -4.4% last week.
- The Dec23 skews are holding relatively steady with many analysts suggesting a supply deficit in the second half of this year but also highlighting the downside risks from the global economy. The Brent Dec23 skew is at -6.1% and WTI is at -7.3%.
- ATM implied volatility has recovered from a low of around 32% last week with Brent second month volatility up to 34.1% and WTI up to 35.3%.
Source: Bloomberg
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Why MNI
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