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Crude Volatility and Put Skews Steady Ahead of OPEC+ Meeting

OIL OPTIONS

Crude oil options implied volatility and skews remains steady ahead of the OPEC+ meeting.

  • Second month ATM implied volatility has remained largely unchanged in the last few days since 30 May with the market currently expecting OPEC+ to leave production targets unchanged at the ministerial meeting over the weekend.
  • Brent second month implied volatility is holding around 38% but up from levels below 35% seen earlier in May. WTI second month ATM implied volatility is around 39.1%.
  • The near term call-put skews are holding onto the slightly less bearish tone than seen earlier in May with the Brent second month 25 delta second month skew at around -4.6% compared to lows of -6.9% in early May. The WTI skew is holding around -5%.
  • The longer dated skews also remain relatively unchanged with the OPEC+ production risks weighed against US and China demand uncertainty. The Brent Dec23 call-put skew is trading around -4.9% and WTI at -5.8%.
    • Brent AUG 23 up 1.5% at 75.39$/bbl
    • WTI JUL 23 up 1.6% at 71.2$/bbl


Source: Bloomberg

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