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BUNDS: Curve Bear Flattens Alongside Hawkish Move In EUR STIRs

BUNDS

Previously covered hawkish repricing in Euribor futures helps explain Bund cross-market weakness on the day, although we haven’t seen an overt trigger for that move (deeper thoughts/colour in recent STIR bullet).

  • The move also helps explain the bear flattening on the German curve.
  • Yields last little changed to 3.5bp higher on the day,
  • Schatz yields have pierced the November 22 high (2.135%), bearish extension would target 2.20% and the November 18 high (2.201%).
  • 2.20% is limiting bearish extensions in Bobl yields at present (highs of 2.203% registered so far, also the highest level seen since late November).
  • Bund yields have traded within 1bp of their late December high, as have Buxl yields.
  • Bund futures trade as low as 132.91, with yesterday’s low (132.90) limiting the move for now.
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Previously covered hawkish repricing in Euribor futures helps explain Bund cross-market weakness on the day, although we haven’t seen an overt trigger for that move (deeper thoughts/colour in recent STIR bullet).

  • The move also helps explain the bear flattening on the German curve.
  • Yields last little changed to 3.5bp higher on the day,
  • Schatz yields have pierced the November 22 high (2.135%), bearish extension would target 2.20% and the November 18 high (2.201%).
  • 2.20% is limiting bearish extensions in Bobl yields at present (highs of 2.203% registered so far, also the highest level seen since late November).
  • Bund yields have traded within 1bp of their late December high, as have Buxl yields.
  • Bund futures trade as low as 132.91, with yesterday’s low (132.90) limiting the move for now.