January 03, 2025 13:30 GMT
BUNDS: Curve Bear Flattens Alongside Hawkish Move In EUR STIRs
BUNDS
Previously covered hawkish repricing in Euribor futures helps explain Bund cross-market weakness on the day, although we haven’t seen an overt trigger for that move (deeper thoughts/colour in recent STIR bullet).
- The move also helps explain the bear flattening on the German curve.
- Yields last little changed to 3.5bp higher on the day,
- Schatz yields have pierced the November 22 high (2.135%), bearish extension would target 2.20% and the November 18 high (2.201%).
- 2.20% is limiting bearish extensions in Bobl yields at present (highs of 2.203% registered so far, also the highest level seen since late November).
- Bund yields have traded within 1bp of their late December high, as have Buxl yields.
- Bund futures trade as low as 132.91, with yesterday’s low (132.90) limiting the move for now.
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