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Free AccessCurve Steepens As Fed Hikes 25bps
TYM3 deals at 115-12+, +0-09+, in line with late NY levels.
- Cash tsys finished 8-26bps richer across the major benchmarks, the curve steepened.
- Tsys firmed yesterday as the Fed delivered a consecutive 25bps hike. Though signalling additional hikes the Fed statement was largely deemed dovish.
- Gains were extended during Chairman Powells press conference, he noted that Fed is no longer stating that ongoing rate increases are appropriate to quell inflation. Instead FOMC now anticipates some additional policy easing may be appropriate. The transcript of Powells press conference is here.
- Earlier in the session tsys firmed off session lows, there was no headline or flow drivers as likely pre FOMC position consolidation dominated.
- FOMC dated OIS show ~12bp hike in May with a terminal rate of ~4.95%. There are ~75bps of hikes seen in 2023.
- RBNZ Chief Economist Conway's remarks on inflation headline an otherwise thin docket in Asia-Pac. Further out we have SNB, Norges Bank and BOE rate decisions. New Home Sales, Initial Jobless Claims and Fedspeak from St Louis Fed Bullard will also cross.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.