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CZKJPY Trending Slightly Higher Ahead of CNB Meeting

CZECHIA
  • CZK has been strengthening against the major crosses ahead of the CNB meeting on Thursday (Nov 4), with consensus expecting a 75bps hike.
  • CZKJPY has been retracing higher in the past few days after receiving support at the 100DMA last week; next resistance to watch on the topside stands at 5.20, followed by 5.23 (LT downward trending resistance line).
  • On the downside, first support stands at 5.1220 (50DMA), followed by 5.1110 (100DMA) and 5.08 (23% Fibo retracement of the 4.4360 – 5.28 range).
  • As business and consumer sentiment indicators have been falling in recent months amid rising Covid uncertainty, CNB policymakers could vote for a smaller hiker (i.e. 50bps), which would be negative for CZK.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI


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