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Data From Primary Elections Continues To Suggest Strong Midterm Turnout

US

Data from Tuesday's midterm primaries in Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Vermont has suggested that voter turnout is likely to exceed that of the 2018 midterm elections.

  • JMC Analytics & Polling has presented data suggesting a significant increase in turnout in this weeks primary elections.
  • Overall Turnout:
    • +7% (Dems -5%, Reps +19%)
    • Primary turnout +2M higher than 2018
  • There has been ongoing speculation throughout this midterm cycle that the Supreme Court decision to overturn Roe vs Wade would initiate a mobilisation of Democrat voters who may have otherwise stayed at home.
  • This argument appeared to be supported by a strong turnout at a Kansas state constitutional referendum last week to block a move to allow a state ban on abortions.
  • This data suggests that turnout is likely to be high from both parties.
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USHomepagePolitical Market NewsPolitical RiskPolitical Risk BulletBulletMarketsFixed Income BulletsForeign Exchange Bullets

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