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Data Surge W/ Retail Sales In Focus

US TSYS
Tsys little firmer after Monday's curve steepening sell-off (Ylds +2-5bp Mon), levels holding narrow range on moderate volumes (TYZ1>330k). Little react or at least no escalation in Sino-US tension following Biden-Xi summit late Monday. Equities off recent lows/near steady (ESZ1 4681.5), Gold gains +10.70, WTI crude +.33.
  • Data surge with Oct Retail Sales in focus (1.5% est vs. 0.7% prior); Import/Export prices (1.0%/1.0% ests), Industrial Production (0.9% vs. -1.3% prior) and Capacity Utilization (75.2% vs. 75.9% prior).
  • Fed-speak includes StL Fed Bullard Bbg TV interview (0845ET); Fed Pres' Barkin, Bostic and George, racism and economy conf at MN Fed (1200ET) and SF Fed Daly speech at Commonwealth Club, media Q&A (1530ET).
  • Tsy supply: $60B 14D bill CMB sale (9127965G0); two NY Fed buy-ops: Tsy 4.5Y-7Y (appr $5.275B) at 1030ET, Tsy 10Y-22.5Y (appr $1.425B) at 1120ET.
  • Corporate debt issuance expected to remain strong, generate more two-way hedging after Mon's >$18.5B priced.
  • Currently: 2-Yr yield is down 0.2bps at 0.5139%, 5-Yr is down 0.8bps at 1.2441%, 10-Yr is down 1.7bps at 1.5974%, and 30-Yr is down 2.2bps at 1.9741%.
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