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Dec22 Put Skew Less than Front Month and Dec23

OIL OPTIONS

Crude put skew maintaining premium to calls suggesting ongoing market concerns for downside potential.

  • Oct22 front month skew is around 7%, Dec22 is at 4.5% and Dec23 is as much as 8%.
  • The Dec22 skew is lower potentially in reaction to the EU ban on Russian seaborne imports at the end of the year. Despite economic demand concerns the uncertainty over Russian output remains an upside risk for the market. EU sanctions will ban the remaining approximate 1.7mbpd imports of Russian crude by Dec 5 and 1mbpd of Russian refined products by Feb 5 2023.
  • Below shows the current Brent vol skew for the Oct22, Dec22, and Dec23 contracts:

Source: Bloomberg

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