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Free AccessDefensive Flows Take Hold, USD/JPY Operates Above Y150
Safe-haven currencies have lured participants in early Asia-Pac trade as e-minis remain heavy, penetrating yesterday's lows this morning. The news that the White House might be considering fresh export controls to limit China's access to quantum computing and AI technology provided another headwind for risk assets.
- The BBDXY index has firmed at the margin, despite light bull-steepening in U.S. Tsy yield curve. The yen fares almost equally well, amid preference for safer currencies. Spot USD/JPY holds above the psychological Y150 figure. Japanese officials reaffirmed their stance on FX matters, with FinMin Suzuki noting that officials are "firmly confronting" FX speculators in the market now.
- Japan's core CPI quickened to +3.0% Y/Y in September, the fastest pace since 1991, if one excludes the impact of sales tax hikes. This comes ahead of next Friday's BoJ monetary policy meeting, which sends USD/JPY 1-week implied volatility rallying to one-month highs.
- The Antipodeans are on the defensive, while the NOK is the worst G10 performer. Rate-hike pricing for the next RBNZ meeting is well off this week's highs, with swaps last pricing ~76bp worth of tightening in November.
- Focus turns to UK retail sales, as well as comments from NY Fed Pres Williams and Chicago Fed Pres Evans.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.